Race 3B

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mackenzie Spencer 12.2% 10.3% 13.0% 12.6% 13.7% 13.1% 8.9% 8.3% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Tanya Cuprak 22.7% 20.4% 17.5% 14.9% 9.0% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Andrew 6.4% 4.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 11.7% 15.5% 14.8% 10.0% 5.0% 1.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 10.8% 14.1% 13.5% 12.4% 12.2% 12.7% 9.5% 7.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Natalie Salk 12.5% 14.0% 14.2% 13.2% 13.4% 11.3% 8.3% 6.7% 3.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Rebecca Jackson 10.7% 12.4% 11.2% 12.1% 13.3% 11.5% 11.1% 8.4% 5.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
John Joseph 4.2% 5.1% 3.8% 6.5% 6.5% 8.8% 10.8% 13.6% 15.3% 14.6% 8.0% 2.8%
Matt Johnson 13.7% 11.6% 13.5% 12.5% 11.8% 10.6% 11.8% 6.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Patrick Morrissey 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 2.7% 5.1% 7.9% 13.5% 26.3% 38.6%
Robert Keller 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 5.6% 6.8% 10.3% 14.4% 16.4% 16.0% 10.3% 3.6%
Marshall McLean 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% 3.3% 4.4% 6.7% 7.6% 14.4% 19.1% 22.3% 15.8%
Christopher Calahan 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 6.5% 14.8% 25.7% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.