Race 8A

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Curtis Mallory 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 8.2% 10.5% 12.6% 15.3% 17.4% 14.8% 2.4%
Robert Heath 12.2% 13.1% 14.9% 13.2% 13.0% 12.4% 10.2% 6.9% 3.6% 0.5%
Jordynn Johnson 6.5% 7.6% 7.1% 8.8% 10.9% 11.9% 14.4% 15.4% 14.3% 2.9%
Kevin McNeill 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 8.2% 9.7% 11.2% 14.1% 16.5% 20.1% 4.6%
Buck Rathbun 27.3% 21.9% 18.8% 12.2% 8.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Isabella Cho 14.3% 13.8% 13.4% 14.3% 11.0% 12.8% 9.0% 7.3% 3.4% 0.7%
Sam Harris 14.5% 14.7% 14.3% 14.5% 14.9% 11.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Finn Deprez 11.6% 12.1% 12.9% 13.9% 12.8% 12.0% 11.8% 8.2% 4.3% 0.4%
Julian Bokulich 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 8.6% 11.4% 17.2% 28.7% 8.5%
Colin Kenny 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 4.5% 8.2% 79.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.