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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+2.38vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.73+4.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.98+3.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+1.41vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.62-0.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.80+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.22+2.39vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.43-0.54vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.17-0.92vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.41+0.48vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+0.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.40-1.97vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.66vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.50-6.60vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-1.85-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Boston College1.9723.5%1st Place
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6.52Bowdoin College0.735.8%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.079.6%1st Place
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4.15Harvard University1.6217.6%1st Place
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6.34Tufts University0.808.2%1st Place
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9.39University of New Hampshire-0.223.5%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University0.435.5%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College0.174.5%1st Place
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10.48The Citadel-0.412.4%1st Place
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11.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.5%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont-0.402.5%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.692.0%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University0.505.5%1st Place
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13.41Northwestern University-1.850.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 23.5% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 17.6% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marykate Hanus | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Eggena | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Henry Parker | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 11.6% |
| William Gear | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 6.2% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 8.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.