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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.07vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.00+9.51vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+5.16vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+1.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+5.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.68vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+3.19vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.04vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-1.45vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-0.85vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.43-6.32vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-4.80vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.23-0.26vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.29-5.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.91vs Predicted
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18Cornell University3.35-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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11.51Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.16Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.97Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.15University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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5.68Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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13.74George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.43Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Carroll | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 29.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.