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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.48vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.26+3.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74-1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.29-1.42vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.68+5.35vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.84vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.17-1.01vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-1.67+2.15vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.92-0.96vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.92-1.88vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.88-0.24vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.18-6.05vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.26-3.93vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-3.24-0.42vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.89-4.09vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-1.73-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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5.74Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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1.68George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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11.35Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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6.99Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.15Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.04Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.12Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.76Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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6.95Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.07Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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14.58Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Delaware-1.890.0%1st Place
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11.44Stevens Institute of Technology-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Gilmore III | 8.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 56.6% | 26.8% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 13.8% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 6.2% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| victor lu | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 9.2% |
| Connor Larson | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Adam Warner | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 58.8% |
| Sophia Caracuzzo | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 9.1% |
| Sean Jahnige | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.