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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+0.65vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.26+3.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.55vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.92+5.22vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.92+4.12vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.88+5.82vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.35vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-1.73+3.24vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.17-3.12vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-1.68+0.32vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.26-1.95vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.18-6.05vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-1.67-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.89-3.26vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh0.14-9.85vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-3.24-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
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5.78Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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9.22Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.12Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.82Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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11.24Stevens Institute of Technology-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.88Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.32Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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10.05Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.95Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.19Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Delaware-1.890.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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14.68Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 59.0% | 24.3% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 12.0% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| victor lu | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 9.7% |
| James Gilmore III | 8.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Jahnige | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| David Fehrle | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Connor Larson | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Caracuzzo | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 8.2% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Warner | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.