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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.29+2.57vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.74-0.27vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-1.68+8.34vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.14+2.39vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.18+2.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.27vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26-0.96vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.92+1.16vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.17-1.93vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.92-0.65vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.67-0.72vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-5.46vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-2.17vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-1.26-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-2.84-2.02vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-3.24-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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1.73George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
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11.34Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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7.17Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.73SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.04Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.16Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.07Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.35Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.28Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.54Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.83Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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10.19Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Delaware-2.840.0%1st Place
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14.64Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 15.0% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 56.0% | 25.3% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Julia Baginski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 3.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| David Fehrle | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Merrow | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 28.4% | 32.6% |
| Adam Warner | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 21.4% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.