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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+0.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14+3.24vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.88+7.93vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.27vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+1.65vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-1.68+4.37vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.17-0.96vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.18-1.83vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.26-4.96vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.92-2.79vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.92-3.71vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-1.67-2.68vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.84-1.14vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-3.24-1.44vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-1.26-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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11.93Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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4.73SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.65Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.37Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.04Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.17Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.04Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.21Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.29Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.32Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Delaware-2.840.0%1st Place
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14.56Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
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10.3Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 57.3% | 26.5% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 14.4% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 7.4% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| River Dixon | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 2.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Merrow | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 29.4% | 28.5% |
| Adam Warner | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 19.8% | 52.7% |
| David Fehrle | 0.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.