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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+4.31vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.18+4.22vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.74-2.24vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+2.64vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+0.12vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.17+0.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.29-4.36vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.92-0.67vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.26-0.51vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.92-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.89-0.90vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-3.24+0.74vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.88-2.99vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-1.67-4.35vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College-1.68-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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7.22Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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1.76George Washington University2.740.6%1st Place
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7.64Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.12Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.26Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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9.33Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.49Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.4Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Delaware-1.890.0%1st Place
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14.74Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
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12.01Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.65Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.66Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Gilmore III | 8.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 55.6% | 23.7% | 14.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 14.0% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| David Fehrle | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Caracuzzo | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 10.3% |
| Adam Warner | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 61.4% |
| victor lu | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 9.9% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
| River Dixon | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.