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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+4.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.65vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.50-2.09vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.92+4.46vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+0.08vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.18-0.68vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.48vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.17-2.85vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.26-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.89+0.05vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.92-3.54vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-3.24+0.74vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.88-2.98vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-1.67-4.39vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College-1.68-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Pittsburgh0.140.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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1.91George Washington University2.500.5%1st Place
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9.46Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.08Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.32Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.52Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.15Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.45Virginia Tech-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Delaware-1.890.0%1st Place
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9.46Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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14.74Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
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12.02Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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11.61Monmouth University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.65Ocean County College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Gilmore III | 9.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 15.0% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Priebe | 50.7% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Curtis Aaron | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| David Fehrle | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Sophia Caracuzzo | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 9.8% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Adam Warner | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 61.6% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 9.7% |
| Julia Baginski | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| River Dixon | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.