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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+6.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.67vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.78vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90+5.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.39+0.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.34+3.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81+0.53vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.17vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-5.19vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-2.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.70-5.27vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.81-2.96vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.35-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.78Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.69Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.87Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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10.53Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.83College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.52Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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10.73University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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14.04Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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15.14George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Crane | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Sara Burke | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Alison Love | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 24.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.