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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+8.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+4.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+6.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+5.53vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+2.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.28vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.56-0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.350.00vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-0.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-0.29vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-4.33vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University3.43-4.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.30-5.15vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.81-8.26vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.89-5.17vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.75-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.8Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.71Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.04Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.83Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Romain Screve | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Conner Harding | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.8% |
| Augie Dale | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.