← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.23+9.46vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.12+9.01vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.48+6.39vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.36vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.24-0.06vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.81+0.66vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.31vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.35+0.63vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.56-0.91vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.97vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.56-2.81vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University3.43-3.83vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.14-3.71vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.53-6.19vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.97-4.54vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston3.75-8.83vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University2.89-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.46Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
-
11.01Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
-
9.39Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.94Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.66Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
9.63Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
-
9.09Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.03U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
9.19Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
9.17Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.29Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
-
8.81Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
11.46Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.17College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
11.49Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% |
| Trevor Long | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Romain Screve | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% |
| Augie Dale | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.