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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+6.94vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+6.19vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+8.01vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.40vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+3.72vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+5.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-0.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.28vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-0.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.14vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-1.51vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-0.31vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-4.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.72vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.23-4.77vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.14-5.29vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.35-7.21vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.56-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.01Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.01Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.49Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.69Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.97Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Augie Dale | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 14.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Trevor Long | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Conner Harding | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Romain Screve | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.