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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+7.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+7.19vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+5.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+4.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+5.38vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.67vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.38vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-0.76vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-0.16vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-4.39vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.14-3.85vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.81-7.53vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-4.74vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.56-8.19vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University3.43-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.19Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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13.38Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University3.140.0%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.26Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.81Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.99Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Long | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 28.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Conner Harding | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Henry Marshall | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
| Romain Screve | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.