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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+7.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+8.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+3.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+3.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+4.13vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.24vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.14+1.43vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.27vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.89+0.64vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-2.48vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.24-7.21vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.81-6.73vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-6.45vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.56-7.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.30-7.13vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.13Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University3.140.0%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.64Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.52Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.79Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.32Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Conner Harding | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Henry Marshall | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Trevor Long | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Romain Screve | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.