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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+8.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+7.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+6.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+5.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.56+3.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.14+4.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.30+2.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.48vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89+2.71vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97+1.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-0.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.20vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.65vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.81-6.59vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.14-4.40vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.24-9.96vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.75-8.88vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University3.43-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University3.140.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
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11.71Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.59Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.6Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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6.04Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.14Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Romain Screve | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Henry Marshall | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% |
| Trevor Long | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% |
| Conner Harding | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Mack Fox | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.