← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.75+7.07vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.81+5.73vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.56+5.88vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.24+1.85vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.11vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.53+2.77vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.35+2.53vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.39+5.37vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.40vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.48-0.78vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.97+0.33vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.56-3.01vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University3.43-3.98vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.89-2.80vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-5.74vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.14-5.46vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.30-7.10vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.23-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.07College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
7.73Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.88Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
5.85Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
8.77Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
13.37Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
-
9.22Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.33Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
9.02Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
11.2Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
9.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
10.54Harvard University3.140.0%1st Place
-
9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
9.85Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Romain Screve | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 28.2% |
| Trevor Long | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Henry Marshall | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Conner Harding | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.