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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+8.18vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+6.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+4.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+5.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.14+5.36vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+5.51vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.56+1.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.23+1.06vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-0.56vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.53-2.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.31vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.24-7.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.16vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.75-7.29vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.97-4.75vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.30-7.13vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.39-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.73Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.36Harvard University3.140.0%1st Place
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11.51Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.25Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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13.39Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Henry Marshall | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% |
| Romain Screve | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Long | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Conner Harding | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| Augie Dale | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.