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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+9.45vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+6.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+4.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+4.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+3.25vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.23+2.20vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90+2.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97+1.42vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.30-0.79vs Predicted
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113.69-3.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.84-0.72vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-2.13vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-7.88vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-7.91vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-4.60vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.53-4.65vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.43.690.1%1st Place
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11.28Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.87Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.4Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.35Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Charles Miller | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| William Logue | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Christian Filter | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Cole Harris | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| JC Hermus | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Jack Gower | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 17.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.