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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.30+8.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.46vs Predicted
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33.69+4.46vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+5.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.90+5.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.22vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+3.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24+1.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.76vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.82+1.31vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-0.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-1.78vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-4.60vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.72-7.08vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-5.78vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.20vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.75-5.55vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.53-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.463.690.1%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.02Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Harris | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% |
| Christian Filter | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| William Logue | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Charles Miller | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% |
| Jack Gower | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.