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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+11.06vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+12.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+7.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.80vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+3.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72+0.88vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+2.25vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+2.57vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.55vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-3.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75+0.13vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-0.86vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-4.22vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.39-5.99vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.90-4.69vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.30-7.19vs Predicted
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173.69-9.80vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.09-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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14.57Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.44Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.25Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.13Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.23.690.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 12.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 14.9% | 36.9% |
| Christian Filter | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Jack Brown | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Charles Miller | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| William Logue | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Cole Harris | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.