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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.30+7.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.75vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+6.56vs Predicted
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43.69+3.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+2.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+3.05vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+1.34vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23+0.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90+0.73vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-4.67vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-0.81vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-3.93vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.75-3.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-3.05vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-6.28vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.97-6.67vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.88-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.56Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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7.063.690.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.73Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.19Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.76Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.72Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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14.2Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Harris | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Charles Miller | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| William Logue | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Brown | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Christian Filter | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.