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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.41vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+7.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+3.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+3.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+6.06vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+2.19vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97+2.13vs Predicted
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93.69-2.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.21vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-1.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.30-2.80vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.90-2.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.31vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.75-3.91vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-1.57vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.23-7.75vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.82-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.993.690.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.09Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.43Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| William Logue | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Christian Filter | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| JC Hermus | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Charles Miller | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Cole Harris | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 36.5% |
| Jack Brown | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.