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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+9.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+4.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.14vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+3.66vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.41vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-2.48vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-1.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.70-0.95vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-3.27vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.35+1.03vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.34-2.90vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.81-5.61vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.15vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.81-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.53College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.66Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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6.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.61Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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15.03George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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13.85Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sara Burke | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hillary Noble | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 42.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Alison Love | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.