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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.47vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+7.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+6.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+5.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+2.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+6.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+3.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09+1.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20+0.26vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90+0.90vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.60+1.00vs Predicted
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123.69-4.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-4.66vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.30-5.48vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-4.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.24-6.80vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.19vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.53-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.9Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.543.690.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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10.87Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.95Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.8% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.5% |
| JC Hermus | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Logue | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Cole Harris | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% |
| Charles Miller | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Jack Gower | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.