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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+5.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+7.62vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+6.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+3.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+2.70vs Predicted
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83.69-0.85vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.60+2.86vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.39-1.28vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.23-1.71vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.17-2.15vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-3.85vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-3.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.30-6.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.81vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.90-6.26vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.53-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.153.690.1%1st Place
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11.86Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.85Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.74Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.96Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christian Filter | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Charles Miller | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 16.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
| William Logue | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Jack Brown | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Cole Harris | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% |
| Jack Gower | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.