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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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13.69+6.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.30vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+9.05vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.30+4.67vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.50vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+2.34vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+2.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-1.00vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-2.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97+0.45vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-1.18vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.53+0.43vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-2.34vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-5.24vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-5.99vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.90-5.49vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.84-6.06vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.363.690.1%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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12.05Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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12.43Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.51Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.94Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% |
| Cole Harris | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Charles Miller | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| William Logue | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Jack Gower | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Peter Lynn | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.