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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.41vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+7.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+7.73vs Predicted
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43.69+3.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+6.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+3.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-1.04vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-0.67vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.53+2.30vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-1.54vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.84-0.88vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.60-1.42vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-5.28vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.04vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.36vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-6.01vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.30-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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10.73Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.053.690.1%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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12.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.3Jacksonville University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.46Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.58Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.3% |
| Christian Filter | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| William Logue | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Jack Gower | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Jack Brown | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Cole Harris | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.