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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.54vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+8.43vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+6.38vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.43vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+3.00vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.96+4.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.17vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97+1.19vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90+0.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-3.90vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.13vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-6.88vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-3.37vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.69-8.01vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-5.11vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.23-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.15Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.19Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.99Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| Charles Miller | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| William Logue | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Christian Filter | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% |
| Steven Leuck | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.