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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.96vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+6.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.90+4.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72+1.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.80vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+2.28vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75+2.09vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.09vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.96-0.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.18vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-6.84vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-3.40vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-5.12vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.17-6.79vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.23-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.28Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.09Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.14Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.6Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.88Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.21Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Charles Miller | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 2.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% |
| JC Hermus | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% |
| Christian Filter | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.