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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+8.16vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+5.60vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+3.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90+3.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24+0.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-2.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-0.96vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-2.85vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.75-2.17vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-3.47vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-5.18vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.96-6.12vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.69-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.25Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.83Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.53Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% |
| Charles Miller | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 14.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.