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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.94+8.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+7.92vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+7.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+6.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+3.89vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+2.21vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+1.91vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+2.01vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-0.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-4.15vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.75vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-3.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.67vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-6.41vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.96-6.14vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.69-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.89Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.91Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.86Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.87Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| William Logue | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Miller | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% |
| JC Hermus | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.