← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.98vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.13+6.95vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.84+7.21vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.94+5.93vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.75+5.41vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.39+2.18vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.90+2.97vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.09+1.02vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.23-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.96-0.37vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University3.17-1.81vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.72-5.31vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.24-4.25vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.69-7.07vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.85vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.34vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.82-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.95Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
10.21Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.93Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
-
10.41Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.18Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.97Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.02Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.9College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
-
9.63Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.19Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
6.69Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.75Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
6.93Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.46Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% |
| William Logue | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.