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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+7.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+7.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+7.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+6.34vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+2.78vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75+4.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.58vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.96vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-2.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.94-0.25vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.96-1.05vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-5.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-4.25vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-4.90vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-6.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-6.77vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.29Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.34Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.82Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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6.93Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| William Logue | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Charles Miller | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Alden Grimes | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.