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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.49vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+5.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+2.57vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+4.93vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+3.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90+1.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.96+0.86vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.94-0.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.32vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-4.14vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.13-3.89vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.75-3.31vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-6.55vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-5.70vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.17-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.86Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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7.86Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.11Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.69Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.81Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Miller | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 14.6% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Alden Grimes | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| William Logue | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Jack Brown | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.