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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+8.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.88vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+3.92vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+3.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+4.32vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.94+2.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75+2.25vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-2.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.64vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-1.69vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-5.38vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.96-3.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-3.62vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.90-5.99vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.17-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.88Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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10.25Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.8Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.77Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.86Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Charles Miller | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| William Logue | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jack Brown | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
| JC Hermus | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 18.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.