Race 1A

fairifeld-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Savage 24.3% 23.0% 18.8% 12.1% 10.4% 5.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 10.4% 10.6% 12.2% 12.9% 13.0% 12.3% 11.3% 8.8% 5.2% 3.2% 0.1%
Anthony Root 19.3% 18.8% 17.9% 15.2% 10.6% 8.1% 5.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Crosby 13.1% 13.0% 11.6% 14.6% 14.3% 11.9% 8.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Timothy Burns 8.5% 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 11.5% 11.8% 12.8% 11.3% 10.2% 5.4% 1.4%
Nick Jaczko 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 3.3% 4.4% 5.3% 7.7% 14.7% 58.3%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 5.0% 4.0% 4.6% 6.7% 7.4% 10.2% 11.8% 13.2% 15.8% 14.6% 6.7%
Brian Hayes 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 10.8% 11.7% 11.9% 10.9% 9.6% 5.2% 1.1%
Isabel Rombult 2.7% 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 5.9% 8.4% 10.6% 14.2% 26.1% 19.0%
Andrew Reynolds 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 7.1% 8.8% 9.7% 11.6% 14.0% 15.1% 13.2% 5.3%
Jonathan Schwartz 3.2% 3.9% 5.8% 6.1% 7.3% 9.3% 10.8% 13.3% 16.7% 15.9% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.