Race 2A

fairifeld-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Savage 24.4% 21.2% 18.4% 14.9% 10.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Root 22.8% 19.9% 16.1% 14.1% 10.5% 7.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Crosby 12.0% 11.8% 15.9% 12.8% 14.6% 11.6% 10.1% 6.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Nick Jaczko 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.7% 15.2% 59.9%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 3.9% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 7.5% 8.2% 12.3% 14.4% 14.8% 16.1% 7.4%
Lillian Vincens 9.8% 11.6% 11.4% 12.3% 12.3% 12.8% 10.3% 9.1% 6.4% 3.3% 0.7%
Brian Hayes 8.1% 10.4% 8.8% 11.3% 11.8% 12.0% 12.0% 11.2% 9.2% 4.1% 1.1%
Timothy Burns 8.7% 7.1% 10.9% 10.4% 10.4% 14.4% 11.2% 10.1% 10.4% 5.3% 1.1%
Andrew Reynolds 3.9% 5.7% 4.4% 7.3% 7.4% 9.8% 11.0% 15.5% 14.3% 13.9% 6.8%
Jonathan Schwartz 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.4% 11.3% 12.5% 18.5% 16.5% 7.5%
Isabel Rombult 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 3.1% 5.5% 7.9% 8.4% 12.2% 15.1% 23.6% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.