Race 3A

fairifeld-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Savage 25.7% 22.6% 15.9% 14.0% 10.3% 5.8% 4.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 10.5% 10.5% 12.9% 13.5% 11.9% 11.8% 11.1% 9.4% 5.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Ben Crosby 12.0% 13.3% 14.3% 13.1% 13.2% 11.6% 9.6% 7.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Anthony Root 20.6% 18.9% 15.4% 16.6% 11.0% 8.8% 4.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Timothy Burns 8.4% 7.6% 10.4% 8.8% 11.5% 12.3% 11.9% 11.6% 9.6% 6.9% 1.0%
Brian Hayes 6.7% 10.5% 8.3% 10.2% 12.5% 12.1% 12.8% 10.2% 8.2% 6.7% 1.8%
Andrew Reynolds 5.2% 4.2% 6.8% 7.0% 8.2% 10.8% 11.4% 13.1% 16.7% 11.7% 4.9%
Jonathan Schwartz 3.9% 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 7.4% 9.9% 10.9% 13.4% 13.9% 17.0% 9.6%
Isabel Rombult 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 9.0% 11.2% 15.3% 24.8% 18.9%
Nick Jaczko 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 5.8% 9.4% 14.6% 56.3%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 3.8% 4.3% 7.0% 6.4% 7.4% 8.9% 11.2% 14.0% 16.2% 14.1% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.