Race 4A

fairifeld-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Savage 24.4% 23.0% 15.9% 14.6% 11.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Hayes 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 11.4% 12.9% 12.5% 11.7% 10.6% 9.1% 5.1% 1.4%
Ben Crosby 11.5% 13.3% 14.1% 14.7% 12.9% 11.3% 10.0% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Timothy Burns 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 9.1% 11.0% 15.2% 12.7% 11.9% 9.5% 5.4% 1.9%
Isabel Rombult 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 6.7% 8.9% 10.4% 15.6% 22.6% 18.5%
Andrew Reynolds 3.2% 5.2% 6.1% 5.8% 8.6% 9.2% 12.4% 14.5% 16.3% 12.2% 6.5%
Lillian Vincens 12.0% 11.2% 12.6% 14.5% 12.0% 10.2% 10.7% 8.8% 4.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Jonathan Schwartz 4.5% 2.6% 4.8% 6.3% 8.9% 8.5% 11.3% 12.5% 15.2% 16.6% 8.8%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 3.2% 4.6% 5.4% 5.7% 6.0% 10.2% 10.7% 14.1% 16.0% 15.1% 9.0%
Nick Jaczko 0.5% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 3.4% 4.6% 5.3% 8.5% 18.7% 53.0%
Anthony Root 23.7% 19.9% 17.7% 12.7% 10.3% 7.4% 3.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.