← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.91+3.34vs Predicted
-
2Sacred Heart University0.35+3.53vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.57+0.10vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.64+1.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.65vs Predicted
-
6Yale University-0.45+1.42vs Predicted
-
7McGill University-0.360.00vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.19vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.38-5.56vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-1.75-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.34University of Vermont0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.53Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
-
3.1Tufts University1.570.3%1st Place
-
5.03Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
-
5.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
-
7.42Yale University-0.450.0%1st Place
-
7.0McGill University-0.360.1%1st Place
-
6.81Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
3.44Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
-
8.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
-
9.61Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Crosby | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brian Hayes | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Savage | 25.1% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Burns | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Schwartz | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 10.9% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| Anthony Root | 20.3% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 17.9% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.