Race 6A

fairifeld-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Savage 24.2% 22.0% 17.5% 14.8% 10.5% 5.7% 2.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Anthony Root 21.1% 20.1% 16.6% 14.6% 11.4% 8.2% 3.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Reynolds 4.4% 3.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.4% 8.8% 14.0% 13.0% 17.9% 13.3% 5.7%
Timothy Burns 6.0% 7.7% 9.4% 8.3% 12.1% 14.9% 12.5% 12.4% 10.0% 5.2% 1.5%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 3.9% 4.1% 5.7% 5.6% 7.6% 8.7% 11.4% 13.5% 16.1% 15.3% 8.1%
Jonathan Schwartz 2.8% 4.1% 3.6% 6.7% 6.3% 9.3% 11.0% 13.4% 15.8% 17.8% 9.2%
Lillian Vincens 12.0% 9.9% 13.0% 13.3% 12.8% 12.4% 9.3% 8.9% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Isabel Rombult 2.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 6.0% 6.5% 9.3% 13.0% 15.5% 21.6% 16.3%
Nick Jaczko 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 1.4% 3.0% 3.4% 5.6% 7.3% 17.3% 56.5%
Brian Hayes 8.0% 9.8% 9.2% 10.7% 12.1% 11.4% 14.0% 9.7% 8.4% 5.1% 1.6%
Ben Crosby 13.8% 15.5% 14.5% 13.3% 13.4% 11.1% 8.5% 5.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.