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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.91+3.39vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.38+1.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.57+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+4.38vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64-0.07vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.35-0.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University-0.45+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-2.46vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.75+0.67vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.36-2.89vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Vermont0.910.1%1st Place
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3.33Salve Regina University1.380.2%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
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8.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.93Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.59Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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9.67Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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7.11McGill University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.74Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Crosby | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 23.2% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Savage | 23.3% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 27.8% | 17.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Brian Hayes | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Schwartz | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 57.2% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.