Race 8A

fairifeld-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Savage 26.1% 21.1% 16.2% 14.8% 10.9% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Crosby 12.9% 13.8% 16.3% 14.4% 12.8% 10.5% 8.1% 6.2% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 9.1% 10.0% 11.3% 13.1% 12.0% 13.9% 11.1% 9.7% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7%
Timothy Burns 5.9% 8.7% 7.9% 9.9% 12.0% 13.1% 12.9% 11.6% 10.4% 6.0% 1.6%
Brian Hayes 7.9% 8.2% 10.3% 11.1% 11.0% 11.5% 12.5% 10.8% 9.2% 5.9% 1.6%
Andrew Reynolds 3.4% 5.0% 6.2% 5.9% 8.9% 10.4% 11.8% 13.8% 13.6% 14.1% 6.9%
Jonathan Schwartz 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 5.5% 8.1% 9.0% 12.5% 11.7% 16.3% 16.9% 7.2%
Isabel Rombult 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 6.6% 6.9% 10.0% 11.6% 13.8% 21.4% 18.0%
Noah Adams Tyshynski 3.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.9% 6.3% 8.8% 10.5% 14.5% 15.6% 15.8% 8.7%
Nick Jaczko 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 3.3% 6.1% 8.5% 16.3% 55.1%
Anthony Root 23.6% 20.5% 17.8% 13.7% 9.2% 6.7% 4.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.