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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+2.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+3.47vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+1.10vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.06+0.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University-0.11-0.25vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.60+1.37vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.84-0.94vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.900.00vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.14vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.17Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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6.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.37Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.06McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.0Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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2.13Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Gear | 14.4% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 18.7% | 22.8% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| John Holt | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Davis Doherty | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Asher | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 13.0% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 28.9% | 25.3% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 54.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 43.1% | 26.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.