Race 2B

fairifeld-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Evan Robison 18.0% 22.4% 21.4% 15.1% 12.9% 6.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Davis Doherty 5.8% 5.8% 7.3% 12.2% 14.2% 16.0% 14.1% 14.5% 7.1% 2.2% 0.8%
Elliott Gear 15.9% 16.8% 20.3% 17.4% 12.5% 9.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Bowdler 38.1% 27.8% 16.8% 10.1% 4.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Holt 8.1% 10.1% 12.2% 13.0% 14.7% 14.0% 14.0% 8.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Griffin Brayer 3.5% 4.0% 6.5% 8.1% 10.7% 14.1% 16.6% 15.9% 12.2% 6.7% 1.7%
Finn Bascio 3.3% 3.8% 3.4% 5.9% 7.6% 11.4% 13.6% 18.7% 17.2% 11.8% 3.3%
Jacob Asher 4.6% 6.9% 8.4% 11.9% 13.4% 14.7% 15.5% 13.3% 8.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Acadia Hegedus 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 9.1% 17.9% 31.2% 24.3%
Abbey Rogers 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 5.0% 11.2% 19.4% 54.2%
Graham Hughes 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.7% 9.5% 11.9% 20.8% 25.2% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.