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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.39vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98-0.78vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.06+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+1.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University-0.11-0.21vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.84+0.03vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-3.14vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.12vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.90-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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2.22Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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5.78Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.03McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.86Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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8.56Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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8.91Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 18.0% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 17.9% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 38.1% | 28.2% | 17.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Doherty | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Asher | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Finn Bascio | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 2.9% |
| John Holt | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 25.2% | 17.4% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 54.4% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 29.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.