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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+3.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.11+0.70vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.84+1.24vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.20vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.06-2.43vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.900.00vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.15vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-1.60-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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3.41University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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6.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.7Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.24McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.57Fairfield University-0.060.1%1st Place
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9.0Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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8.45Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 37.8% | 27.8% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 17.1% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Evan Robison | 17.6% | 19.7% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| John Holt | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Davis Doherty | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 29.4% | 24.5% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 54.2% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.