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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+2.48vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+3.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.71vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.06vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.06-0.33vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.84+0.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University-0.11-2.38vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.90+0.02vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-1.60-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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2.16Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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6.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.94Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.67Fairfield University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.04McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.02Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
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8.47Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Gear | 15.8% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 40.0% | 27.9% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Evan Robison | 17.5% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Davis Doherty | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 26.5% | 27.3% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 26.1% | 14.3% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 21.0% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.