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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+3.45vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-1.60+4.68vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.06+0.62vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27-3.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University-0.11-2.36vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.90-0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-0.17vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.84-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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3.46University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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6.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.68Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.02Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.64Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.97Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.01McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 37.2% | 27.0% | 19.0% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 16.6% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 21.0% | 27.8% | 17.4% |
| Davis Doherty | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| John Holt | 5.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Evan Robison | 21.8% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 31.6% | 23.3% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 53.3% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.