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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.24vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+0.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University-0.11+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+1.31vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.03vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.06-1.52vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.84-0.90vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.90+0.01vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-1.60-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.58-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.16Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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3.53University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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5.89Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.97Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.48Fairfield University-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.1McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.01Middlebury College-1.900.0%1st Place
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8.45Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 17.4% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 41.8% | 25.5% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 15.2% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| John Holt | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Davis Doherty | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Finn Bascio | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 3.2% |
| Acadia Hegedus | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 26.4% | 26.7% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 25.8% | 14.7% |
| Abbey Rogers | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.